How have economic policies changed under the
impact of the 2007/09 Global Financial Crisis
(GFC)? Before the GFC, there had been belief in
the ‘great moderation’, the belief that ‘new
consensus macroeconomics’ and ‘inflation
targeting’ ‘worked’; de-regulation and the
financial sector were highly beneficial,
inequality deemed needed for growth. The global
economy appeared to be set on a path of continuous
growth. The GFC exploded many of these ideas – yet
have economic policies changed in response? How
has the ‘conventional neo-liberal wisdom’ on
economic policies changed? In the immediate
aftermath of the GFC, attention focused on fiscal
policy responses, on the development of
‘unorthodox’ monetary policies, and the regulation
of the financial sector (e.g. Dodd-Frank Act). The
fate of these three policy developments is
examined. The fluctuating attitudes towards fiscal
policy and austerity programmes are examined at
the national and supra-national level including
international organisations (IMF, OECD etc.).
Monetary policy appears to have often shifted its
policy objectives away from inflation targeting to
financial stability and the use of
quantitative/qualitative easing: does this
represent a new era of monetary policy? And have
attitudes to the financial sector and its
regulation fundamentally changed – or is it
‘business as usual’? Output in 2016 is in general
only a little higher than in 2007, and hence
growth of output much lower than in the preceding
decade. Does this represent a failure of demand
recovery, and/or a shift to a much lower growth
rate, and will the future be one of secular
stagnation? Industrial policy had generally fallen
out of favour in the decades of the ‘great
moderation’. Have there been any significant
changes? It is now widely recognized that
inequality has tended to widen in many
industrialised countries, and concern over
inequality (for example, Occupy Wall Street etc.)
become significant. But has there been any shift
in the record on inequality and on the effective
policy agenda with regard to inequality? How have
labour market policies fared? Has the experience
of unemployment promoted policies of more
‘flexible’ labour markets and depression of wages
succeeded? How have environmental policies fared
after the GFC? Has the opportunity of undertaking
‘green investment’ been taken, or has the
austerity programme and the prospects for slow
growth had adverse effects?
The conference will be held under the aegis of
the The Cambridge Trust for New Thinking in
Economics and is intended to explore further the
contributions to New Thinking in Economics - 'New
Economics' - as the new mainstream. New Economics
is concerned with institutional behaviour,
expectations and uncertainty as opposed to
traditional economics with its emphasis on
equilibrium, mathematical formalism and
deterministic solutions. With the financial crisis
brought on by the unrestrained pursuit of personal
and corporate profit, sanctioned by traditional
economics, this is an opportune time to establish
a new way of approaching economic understanding,
based on new economic theory. It is also a good
time to bring forward new ideas on the approach to
economic policy across a wide range of areas (for
example, macroeconomic and global governance,
employment and unemployment, social security and
pensions, as well as environmental issues).
New thinking in economics is an interdisciplinary
approach to economic problems that acknowledges
and respects the insights and analysis of other
disciplines, e.g. those of political science,
ethics, history and engineering. It also
recognises complexity and evolutionary theory as
relevant to understanding economic systems and
economic behaviour.
We wish to emphasise the new thinking in
economics that goes beyond the traditional
approach, which arguably is no longer mainstream
economics.
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